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Text reference work on the subject
"Social and economic forecasting" RIU TANTAL
Task 1.
Question 1. What is a Greek word meaning "forecast"?
1. planning;
2. foresight;
3. The assumption;
4. Search;
5. study.
Question 2. What kinds of predictions encompass the movement of population and the reproduction of the labor force, the employment rate of the working population and its qualification structure?
1. economic;
2. natural resources;
3. The scientific and technical;
4. demographics;
5. Social Development.
Question 3. What is the purpose of organizational and production system?
1. The ideal future performance;
2. The accounting periods of time forecasting;
3. evaluation of the product life cycle;
4. The current formulation of plans and programs;
5. The accounting for changes in the external environment.
Question 4: What is the concept reflects the way research facility forecasting aimed at developing forecasts?
1. prediction;
2. Searching forecast;
3. Reception forecasting;
4. programming;
5. The method of forecasting.
Question 5: What does the term "projected experiment"?
1. The object model prediction;
2. The period of time, which is built on the basis of retrospection;
3. The realization of the forecast on the object or its prediction model;
4. The document defining the goals and objectives of the forecast;
5. The prediction model of the object.
Task 2.
Question 1. What is the essence of search prediction?
1. The allocation of resources between different areas;
2. determining the desired state in the future and the probability of achieving them;
3. The qualitative or quantitative reflection of any object property prediction;
4. Determination of the temporal sequence of historical values \u200b\u200bof a variable object forecasting;
5. The establishment of guidelines used in the development of concrete measures to implement the plans.
Question 2. What type of forecasting is to identify ways to achieve the desired state in the future (objectives OPS)?
1. perspective;
2. search;
3. The operational calendar;
4. Regulatory;
5. retrospective.
Question 3. What is the principle of social and economic forecasting involves the study of quantitative and qualitative patterns in economic systems?
1. The scientific validity;
2. The adequacy of the forecast objective laws;
3. Alternative;
4. focus;
5. System.
Question 4. In how many stages is carried out a scientific analysis?
1. two;
2. Three;
3. Four;
4. five;
5. six.
Question 5. What is the principle of social and economic forecasting determines active character prediction?
1. System;
2. The scientific validity;
3. adequacy;
4. focus;
5. Alternative.
Task 3.
Question 1. What is the philosophical concept that recognizes objective law and causation of all phenomena of nature and society?
1. determinism;
2. altruism;
3. dynamism;
4. Futurism;
5. objectivism.
Question 2. What is the general scientific approach to forecasting is to consider every phenomenon and process in its historical form of the relationship?
1. complex;
2. History;
3. Alternative;
4. The adequacy;
5. focus.
Question 3. Which approach involves consideration of the object of study in its relationships and dependencies with other processes and phenomena?
1. adequate;
2. Alternative;
3. History;
4. complex;
5. targeted.
Question 4. In what approach the ultimate goal is to determine the possible states of the object prediction in the future?
1. historical;
2. complex;
3. genetic;
4. adequate;
5. alternative.
Question 5. What approach takes as its objective to identify ways and deadlines for reaching a possible object state prediction in the future?
1. Regulatory;
2. History;
3. complex;
4. Genetic;
5. alternative.

Additional information

Task 10.
Question 1: What solution is the choice of the method of forecasting?
1. basic;
2. important;
3. auxiliary;
4. indirect;
5. principle.
Question 2. What is the matrix of the presence or absence of communication between the standard view and the prediction method of the object?
1. general;
2. The primary;
3. indirect;
4. Auxiliary;
5. logical.
Q 3. What type of management personnel uses forecast reaction to the appropriate exposure?
1. Traditional;
2. System;
3. Situation;
4. The moral and ethical;
5. stabilization.
Question 4. Who chooses the type of forecasting method, develops or modifies his method already known?
1. The head of the group of forecasters;
2. The head of the company;
3. forecaster;
4. Chief Specialist;
5. The head of the planning department.
Question 5. What type of management involves the need to forecast the consequences of decisions to subject decisions?
1. Traditional;
2. Situation;
3. The system;
4. The social and ethical;
5. stabilization.
Task 11.
Question 1: Which method establishes a logical sequence of events in order to demonstrate how the basis of existing situations may develop a future state objects?
1. The logical analysis;
2. write the script;
3. expert evaluations;
4. morphological analysis;
5. Functional foresight.
Question 2. The advantage of the method of prediction is that it will carry out in the presence of a small amount of information about the research problem?
1. The logical analysis;
2. writing the script;
3. expert evaluations;
4. morphological analysis;
5. funktsonalno logical.
Question 3. How is the graph tree, which expresses the ratio between the peaks, is a stage or a problem to be addressed in achieving a goal?
1. Count the forecast;
2. scenario to solve the problem;
3. The purpose of the tree;
4. The evaluation criterion;
5. The final table.
Question 4. Use any forecasting methods used when an anticipation of the jump in the development of the object, change the function or structure?
1. The logical analysis;
2. writing the script;
3. expert evaluations;
4. morphological analysis;
5. functionally logical.
Question 5. What prediction methods are used, if the amount of delay time is placed under one of the cycles of the object prediction?
1. The logical analysis;
2. writing the script;
3. mathematical;
4. morphological analysis;
5. functionally logical.
Task 12.
Question 1. The essence of the method is to find the coefficients of the model trend, minimizing its deviation from the original point of the time series?
1. Least squares;
2. Mathematical;
3. statistics;
4. writing the script;
5. morphological analysis.
Question 2. What is an important characteristic of the forecast using the method of least squares?
1. evaluation of the reliability of the source data;
2. evaluation of the accuracy and reliability of the results;
3. The existence of the mathematical apparatus;
4. The production of the desired statistical reporting;
5. The accuracy of the calculations.
Question 3. Which method makes it possible to predict the processes, the dynamics of which contains the vibrational or harmonic components?
1. Least squares;
2. mathematics;
3. Factor Analysis;
4. The spectral analysis;
5. morphological analysis.
Question 4. The use of the method makes it possible to account the set of variables that characterize the object and the relationship between them?
1. Morphological Analysis
2. least squares;
3. mathematical;
4. Factor Analysis;
5. The spectral analysis.
.Vopros 5. What is the primary language of prediction?
1. predictive models;
2. formula;
3. mathematical apparatus;
4. The logical relationship;
5. The graphic construction.
Task 13.
Question 1. What is the principle between the expected accura


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